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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Tag Archives: polls
Why Mitt Romney is not the inevitable nominee
Romney is no more “inevitable” than Howard Dean in 2004 or Hillary Clinton in 2008. Mitt Romney has polled consistently with around 20% support for months. Meanwhile, we’ve seen a variety of opponents rise rapidly than fall. First it was … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged campaigns, mitt romney, nominations, polls, presidential election, rick perry
7 Comments
Could Republicans win all four U.S. House districts?
This movement toward the GOP represents a continuation of a rightward trend that began decades ago In a few days, we’ll post Census data showing that Hispanics (who often vote Democratic) have become a larger percentage of the state’s population. … Continue reading
Two conflicting BYU studies on immigration?
Taking these two studies together, we find that (1) many people don’t know the LDS Church’s stance, but (2) those who do know it tend to move in the Church’s direction, at least if they are LDS Republicans. Today, the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged immigration, mormons, polls, utah compact, utah county, utah voter poll
1 Comment
Did the Utah Compact actually change attitudes about immigration?
The publicity about the Compact, including the Compact’s moderate stance, likely helped move active Mormons and strong Republicans toward more opposition to an Arizona-style law. Can public opinion on controversial issues moderate or change in response to public debates? Political … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged immigration, mormons, partisanship, polls, utah compact, utah voter poll
2 Comments
What do Utahns think about legislators’ privacy?
An overwhelming majority (78%) say that “the public’s right to access” is the most important. Public opinion toward complex issues is difficult to measure, especially as the issues involve a choice between important values. The recent debate over the Utah … Continue reading
More on whether good Mormons can be good Democrats
If it’s hard to persuade Mormon Republicans to cross party lines and vote for a Democrat, that’s because it’s hard to persuade anybody to cross party lines. Sometimes, people lie to pollsters. Not always, of course. But if you ask … Continue reading
Can a good Mormon be a good Democrat?
It’s true that most Utah Mormons are Republicans, but it’s not true that most Utah Mormons think good Mormons cannot be good Democrats. On election day, BYU cooperated with other universities to field the Utah Colleges Exit Poll. On the … Continue reading
Are voters biased against Mormons?
Quoting from James Rydberg at YouGov’s Model Politics blog (emphasis is mine): A recent YouGov survey asked 1000 respondents if they would be willing to vote for “a generally well-qualified person” nominated by their party if they learned that candidate … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged bias, mitt romney, mormons, polls
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Are voters biased against Mormons?
Is Utah the most Republican state?
Utah is #1 most Republican, #9 most conservative, and also #17 most conservative. On election day, Utah’s Republicans increased their veto-proof legislative majorities by 5 seats in the House and 1 in the Senate. Does that make Utah the most … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged imbalance, partisanship, polls
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Is Utah the most Republican state?