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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Tag Archives: campaigns
Senator Lee Rebounds
Compared to one year ago, our October 2014 UVP shows a substantial change in voters’ views about the senator. Overall, favorability toward Senator Lee has now nearly returned to its pre-shutdown levels. These are heady days for Senate Republicans. With a wave … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged campaigns, congress, democracy, democrat, gary herbert, jim matheson, mike lee, orrin hatch, utah colleges exit poll, utah voter poll Comments Off on Senator Lee Rebounds
The Current State of the 2014 Utah Campaigns
It is too early to tell whether it will come down to the 768 voters who gave Matheson a win over Love in 2012, but our evidence indicates that as of late October, the 4th District’s 2014 outcome is still … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged campaigns, chris stewart, doug owens, jason chaffetz, mia love, rob bishop, utah colleges exit poll, utah voter poll, voting 2 Comments
How early did voters decide who to vote for?
In noncompetitive, low-profile races like the first and third districts, voters take a bit longer to decide than they do in competitive, highly publicized races like the fourth district. This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged campaigns, chris stewart, congress, jason chaffetz, jay seegmiller, jim matheson, mia love, rob bishop, student research, utah colleges exit poll, voting Comments Off on How early did voters decide who to vote for?
Can Mia Love Still Win?
If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged absentee voting, campaigns, election administration, jim matheson, mia love, polls, utah colleges exit poll 2 Comments
Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
When you consider that Mormons overwhelmingly identify as Republicans, it is unsurprising that Mitt Romney is viewed by a large majority of Mormons as positively representing their faith. In a previous post, we reported findings from the June Key Research … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged campaigns, democrat, harry reid, Key Research, mitt romney, mormons, partisanship, presidential election, public opinion, religion, republican Comments Off on Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
Cage match: Janice Fisher and Fred Cox
Representatives Cox and Fisher disagreed 54% of the time on close votes. The new legislative district maps adopted a few months back placed two Utah legislators into the same district: Republican Fred Cox and Democrat Janice Fisher. Now that both … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged cage match, campaigns, ideology, legislature, representation, roll call votes, voting Comments Off on Cage match: Janice Fisher and Fred Cox
What do Mormons think about Governor Romney’s candidacy?
67.5% said they did not trust the media to cover the Church fairly, and after the diatribes of the Lawrence O’Donnells of the world, who can blame them? The 2012 presidential candidacy of Governor Romney has shined a spotlight on … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged campaigns, media, mitt romney, mormons, polls, public opinion Comments Off on What do Mormons think about Governor Romney’s candidacy?
Do statistics (like absentee rates) matter in reelection campaigns?
I encourage voters to use these statistics to supplement other information, not to supplant it. I calculate a lot of statistics about the Utah legislature. Lately, I’ve noticed various statistics being used in some of the nomination battles that are … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged absenteeism, campaigns, commentary, delegates, ideology, legislature, nominations 1 Comment
What the election shows: That social science works
Before any of the debates. Before SuperStorm Sandy. Before the last-minute barrage of campaign advertising. He predicted the result perfectly over a month ago. Over the past several months, political scientists have consistently forecasted an Obama victory–a relatively narrow one, … Continue reading →