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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Author Archives: Quin Monson
Utah Voters Support Medicaid Expansion
43% of Utah voters prefer the Governor’s plan, 33% prefer the ACA plan, 13% prefer no change, and 11% prefer the Speaker’s Plan. This post was written by CSED Research Fellow and BYU Political Scientist Jay Goodliffe with assistance from … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged becky lockhart, gary herbert, health care, ideology, medicare, obamacare, partisanship, utah voter poll 4 Comments
Party Identification, Party Registration, and “Unaffiliated” Voters
Only 26% of unaffiliated voters also identify as independents. The remaining unaffiliated voters split evenly between Republicans (35%) and Democrats (34%). In other words, it’s probably okay to confuse registered Republicans (party registration) with self-identified Republicans (party identification), but unaffiliated … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged democrat, ideology, independent, Key Research, partisanship, republican, unaffiliated, voter registration 1 Comment
How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged jim matheson, mia love, partisanship, republican, student research, utah colleges exit poll Comments Off on How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
Can Mia Love Still Win?
If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged absentee voting, campaigns, election administration, jim matheson, mia love, polls, utah colleges exit poll 2 Comments
Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
************Updated estimates as of 10:00pm US President Mitt Romney 72% Barack Obama 25% Someone else 3% Projected winner: Mitt Romney US Senate Orrin Hatch 65% Scott Howell 30% Someone else 4% Projected winner: Orrin Hatch Governor Gary Herbert 68% Peter … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Comments Off on Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged barack obama, democrat, mitt romney, mormons, presidential election, religion, republican, utah colleges exit poll, voting Comments Off on How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading
Posted in Everything Tagged barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, Key Research, mia love, mitt romney, orrin hatch, polls, presidential election, public opinion, rob bishop, turnout Comments Off on Key Research Poll General Election Predictions