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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Tag Archives: nominations
Is Utah A Swing State?
If Trump manages to obtain the Republican party’s nomination Utah may be a hotly contested battleground state in 2016. While we’re still more than a year away from electing our next president, news stories abound regarding the abundance of candidates … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged nominations, polls, presidential election, public opinion
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Is Utah A Swing State?
We now have the fewest freshmen ever in the Utah House
Every incumbent on yesterday’s ballot won. This post is based on preliminary election results. Provisional and absentee ballots remain to be counted. When it convenes in January, Utah’s House of Representatives will have fewer freshmen on the floor than it … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged careerism, congress, legislature, nominations, republic
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We now have the fewest freshmen ever in the Utah House
Who is a Better Filter, Caucus Attendees or Primary Voters?
Every system requires trade-offs between competing values. But we ought not to pretend that one set of filters has virtues that are simply not present. In a previous post, I examined the relationship between attitudes in the public and support … Continue reading
On Count My Vote, Who is Toeing the Party Line?
Why does the Republican Party in Utah oppose the reform when only one segment of the party seems to oppose it? Only those who are the most conservative and support the Tea Party seem to prefer the status quo. Utahns … Continue reading
What is the future of the Republican nominating system?
The Republican Central Committee recently decided that it would not change the manner by which candidates gain access to the Republican primary ballot. The decision not to change the rules creates a possible showdown with Count My Vote. The group … Continue reading
Background research on Utah’s caucus-convention system
The news reports a proposed ballot measure to reform Utah’s nominating system. This might be a good time to remind readers of an excellent report by the non-partisan Utah Foundation about a year ago. The report’s author, Morgan Lyon Cotti, … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged caucus, convention, direct democracy, initiative, nominations, utah foundation
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Who is going to win the Republican Senate Primary?
While the vote estimates vary depending on the assumptions you make, the outcome is the same across the board. Senator Hatch is very likely to win, the uncertainty is by how much. Barring a last minute “June surprise” that dramatically … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged convention, dan liljenquist, delegates, nominations, orrin hatch, polls, tea party, turnout, utah voter poll, voting
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Who is going to win the Republican Senate Primary?
Topline Results for Republican and Democratic Delegate Surveys
The delegates have given both party chairs remarkably high overall job approval. Recently we wrote up a few results from surveys of Utah Republican convention delegates. We conducted surveys of the Republicans and Democrats. More analysis will follow, but it’s … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged approval ratings, convention, delegates, nominations, partisanship, polls, utah voter poll
1 Comment
Why are Liljenquist’s former colleagues split on his candidacy?
Liljenquist’s former colleagues are evenly split on his candidacy, but it’s hard to explain the split using ideology. Today, Dan Liljenquist announced that 13 of the 22 Republicans in the state senate have endorsed his challenge against Orrin Hatch. I … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged dan liljenquist, ideology, legislature, nominate, nominations, orrin hatch
2 Comments
I encourage voters to use these statistics to supplement other information, not to supplant it. I calculate a lot of statistics about the Utah legislature. Lately, I’ve noticed various statistics being used in some of the nomination battles that are … Continue reading →