Tag Archives: nominations

Who is a Better Filter, Caucus Attendees or Primary Voters?

Every system requires trade-offs between competing values.  But we ought not to pretend that one set of filters has virtues that are simply not present.  In a previous post, I examined the relationship between attitudes in the public and support … Continue reading

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On Count My Vote, Who is Toeing the Party Line?

Why does the Republican Party in Utah oppose the reform when only one segment of the party seems to oppose it?  Only those who are the most conservative and support the Tea Party seem to prefer the status quo. Utahns … Continue reading

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What is the future of the Republican nominating system?

The Republican Central Committee recently decided that it would not change the manner by which candidates gain access to the Republican primary ballot. The decision not to change the rules creates a possible showdown with Count My Vote. The group … Continue reading

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Background research on Utah’s caucus-convention system

The news reports a proposed ballot measure to reform Utah’s nominating system. This might be a good time to remind readers of an excellent report by the non-partisan Utah Foundation about a year ago. The report’s author, Morgan Lyon Cotti, … Continue reading

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Who is going to win the Republican Senate Primary?

While the vote estimates vary depending on the assumptions you make, the outcome is the same across the board.  Senator Hatch is very likely to win, the uncertainty is by how much. Barring a last minute “June surprise” that dramatically … Continue reading

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Topline Results for Republican and Democratic Delegate Surveys

The delegates have given both party chairs remarkably high overall job approval. Recently we wrote up a few results from surveys of Utah Republican convention delegates. We conducted surveys of the Republicans and Democrats. More analysis will follow, but it’s … Continue reading

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Do statistics (like absentee rates) matter in reelection campaigns?

I encourage voters to use these statistics to supplement other information, not to supplant it. I calculate a lot of statistics about the Utah legislature. Lately, I’ve noticed various statistics being used in some of the nomination battles that are … Continue reading

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Why are Liljenquist’s former colleagues split on his candidacy?

Liljenquist’s former colleagues are evenly split on his candidacy, but it’s hard to explain the split using ideology. Today, Dan Liljenquist announced that 13 of the 22 Republicans in the state senate have endorsed his challenge against Orrin Hatch. I … Continue reading

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Cage match: Casey Anderson vs Evan Vickers

Rep. Vickers and Sen. Anderson disagree relatively often for members of the same party. Sen. Casey Anderson (R-Cedar City) was appointed last year to serve out the remainder of Sen. Dennis Stowell’s term after his death from cancer. Rep. Vickers … Continue reading

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Cage match: Patrick Painter vs Ralph Okerlund

Rep. Painter and Sen. Okerlund don’t disagree very often. Correction (April 3, 2012): A database error caused my query to omit roughly half of the votes held each year. The omitted votes were roughly random, so the general patterns aren’t … Continue reading

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