Monthly Archives: November 2012

Do voters believe that the president can influence the economy?

Voters seem to interpret the economy through a distinctly partisan lens. This analysis was performed by Ethan Busby, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration with CSED … Continue reading

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Do candidates’ issue positions influence voters?

Utah voters may selectively think of only certain issues This analysis was performed by Ethan Busby, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration with CSED faculty. The … Continue reading

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Could Jim Matheson have beaten Orrin Hatch?

Matheson does not have as much appeal statewide as in the fourth district This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration … Continue reading

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How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?

It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading

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How did Ben McAdams win?

How did McAdams win?  First, he kept his base and won big among independents. This analysis was performed by Carlos Madrid, a student in the class that organized the Utah Colleges Exit Poll.  The writing is mostly his. Inquiries about … Continue reading

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Can Mia Love Still Win?

If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading

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Nationwide, single member districts hurt Democrats

No matter who controls the Utah Legislature, it will be hard for Democrats to win as many legislative seats in Utah as their popular vote might suggest. I wrote recently that single member districts hurt the minority party, whatever the … Continue reading

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Did gerrymandering produce Republican gains in the Utah Legislature?

Single member districts are always going to give the minority party fewer seats than votes, and the disparity gets larger as the minority party gets smaller. I wrote last week that the 2013 Utah Legislature will be the second-most Republican … Continue reading

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What is the demographic future of the two-party system in Utah?

This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us on Facebook), in collaboration with CSED faculty. The writing is mostly his. Inquiries about this research should come to Kelly Patterson.  The … Continue reading

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Introducing the 2nd most Republican Utah Legislature in 80 years

Utah’s Republicans may have lost the presidency, but they can rejoice in their increased dominance of the state government. Preliminary results suggest that Republicans picked up 3 seats in the Utah House and 2 in the Utah Senate. The 2013 … Continue reading

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