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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Tag Archives: presidential election
Which way did Utah Co and Weber Co swing?
Trump’s 2020 gains are trivial. He continues to fare worse in these areas than any Republican nominee in a generation. The New York Times notes in passing today that two Utah metro areas (Provo-Orem and Ogden-Clearfield) moved toward Trump in … Continue reading
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Tagged counties, democracy, independent, measurement, parties, partisanship, presidential election, utah county, voting, weber county
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Which way did Utah Co and Weber Co swing?
Is Utah A Swing State?
If Trump manages to obtain the Republican party’s nomination Utah may be a hotly contested battleground state in 2016. While we’re still more than a year away from electing our next president, news stories abound regarding the abundance of candidates … Continue reading
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Tagged nominations, polls, presidential election, public opinion
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Is Utah A Swing State?
2012 was Utah’s most Republican-leaning presidential vote since statehood
Relative to the nation, Utah cast a more Republican vote in 2012 than at any time since statehood. I just noticed something interesting while playing with the 2012 presidential election results for Utah. By one metric, it appears Utah may … Continue reading
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Tagged barack obama, democrat, measurement, mitt romney, partisanship, presidential election, republican, voting
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2012 was Utah’s most Republican-leaning presidential vote since statehood
Which Utah pollsters correctly predicted the election results?
Only one of Utah’s three professional pollsters was reasonably accurate with almost every prediction it made. In the two weeks prior to the election, several pollsters tried their hand at forecasting the election results in Utah’s various races. I thought … Continue reading
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Tagged Key Research, measurement, polls, presidential election, public opinion, rankings, USU
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Which Utah pollsters correctly predicted the election results?
No, Utah will not have 80% turnout
Estimating Utah’s turnout by looking only at registered voters is like estimating Utah’s average wealth by looking only at those who are employed. Important note (November 20, 2012). The turnout numbers below rely on data from Michael McDonald. He has … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged election administration, greg bell, measurement, presidential election, turnout, voter registration, voting
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How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
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Tagged barack obama, democrat, mitt romney, mormons, presidential election, religion, republican, utah colleges exit poll, voting
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How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
When you consider that Mormons overwhelmingly identify as Republicans, it is unsurprising that Mitt Romney is viewed by a large majority of Mormons as positively representing their faith. In a previous post, we reported findings from the June Key Research … Continue reading
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Tagged campaigns, democrat, harry reid, Key Research, mitt romney, mormons, partisanship, presidential election, public opinion, religion, republican
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Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading
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Tagged barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, Key Research, mia love, mitt romney, orrin hatch, polls, presidential election, public opinion, rob bishop, turnout
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Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
USU Pre-Election Poll
The poll finds that Republicans in statewide elections in Utah are running strong this year; this is particularly true of Mitt Romney and Gary Herbert. This post is written by students in POLS 6010 at Utah State University, a Political … Continue reading
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Tagged dan liljenquist, mitt romney, orrin hatch, polls, presidential election, voting
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Before any of the debates. Before SuperStorm Sandy. Before the last-minute barrage of campaign advertising. He predicted the result perfectly over a month ago. Over the past several months, political scientists have consistently forecasted an Obama victory–a relatively narrow one, … Continue reading →