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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Category Archives: Everything
Could Jim Matheson have beaten Orrin Hatch?
Matheson does not have as much appeal statewide as in the fourth district This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged congress, jim matheson, orrin hatch, partisanship, student research, utah colleges exit poll
1 Comment
How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged jim matheson, mia love, partisanship, republican, student research, utah colleges exit poll
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How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
How did Ben McAdams win?
How did McAdams win? First, he kept his base and won big among independents. This analysis was performed by Carlos Madrid, a student in the class that organized the Utah Colleges Exit Poll. The writing is mostly his. Inquiries about … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged democrat, Latino, polls, republican, salt lake county, utah colleges exit poll
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How did Ben McAdams win?
Can Mia Love Still Win?
If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged absentee voting, campaigns, election administration, jim matheson, mia love, polls, utah colleges exit poll
2 Comments
Nationwide, single member districts hurt Democrats
No matter who controls the Utah Legislature, it will be hard for Democrats to win as many legislative seats in Utah as their popular vote might suggest. I wrote recently that single member districts hurt the minority party, whatever the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged congress, legislature, redistricting, single member districts, urban
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Nationwide, single member districts hurt Democrats
Did gerrymandering produce Republican gains in the Utah Legislature?
Single member districts are always going to give the minority party fewer seats than votes, and the disparity gets larger as the minority party gets smaller. I wrote last week that the 2013 Utah Legislature will be the second-most Republican … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged counties, democrat, legislature, redistricting, representation, republican, salt lake county, single member districts, utah county
1 Comment
What is the demographic future of the two-party system in Utah?
This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us on Facebook), in collaboration with CSED faculty. The writing is mostly his. Inquiries about this research should come to Kelly Patterson. The … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged barack obama, chris stewart, democrat, demographics, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, Latino, mia love, mitt romney, republican, rob bishop, scott howell, utah colleges exit poll, voting
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What is the demographic future of the two-party system in Utah?
Introducing the 2nd most Republican Utah Legislature in 80 years
Utah’s Republicans may have lost the presidency, but they can rejoice in their increased dominance of the state government. Preliminary results suggest that Republicans picked up 3 seats in the Utah House and 2 in the Utah Senate. The 2013 … Continue reading
Lots of freshmen in the Utah House?
In January 2013, there will be more freshmen in the Utah House than at any other time in the past 20 years. From a glance over the election results, it looks like there will be 20 new faces in Utah’s … Continue reading
Which Utah pollsters correctly predicted the election results?
Only one of Utah’s three professional pollsters was reasonably accurate with almost every prediction it made. In the two weeks prior to the election, several pollsters tried their hand at forecasting the election results in Utah’s various races. I thought … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged Key Research, measurement, polls, presidential election, public opinion, rankings, USU
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Which Utah pollsters correctly predicted the election results?