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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Category Archives: Everything
Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
************Updated estimates as of 10:00pm US President Mitt Romney 72% Barack Obama 25% Someone else 3% Projected winner: Mitt Romney US Senate Orrin Hatch 65% Scott Howell 30% Someone else 4% Projected winner: Orrin Hatch Governor Gary Herbert 68% Peter … Continue reading
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Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
No, Utah will not have 80% turnout
Estimating Utah’s turnout by looking only at registered voters is like estimating Utah’s average wealth by looking only at those who are employed. Important note (November 20, 2012). The turnout numbers below rely on data from Michael McDonald. He has … Continue reading
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Tagged election administration, greg bell, measurement, presidential election, turnout, voter registration, voting
3 Comments
Why pollsters should release their topline results
Polls can be done well or poorly. Releasing topline results aids the public in detecting poor polls. The Tribune reported a Mason-Dixon poll last week suggesting a wide Republican advantage in the race for Salt Lake County mayor. Yesterday, the … Continue reading
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Tagged commentary, measurement, polls, public opinion
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Why pollsters should release their topline results
How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
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Tagged barack obama, democrat, mitt romney, mormons, presidential election, religion, republican, utah colleges exit poll, voting
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How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
It’s not that Lee is really unpopular, it’s just that even after two years he’s still relatively unknown. Lee’s statewide favorability resembles the statewide ratings of Utah’s Republican U.S. House members. Key Research, a survey and market research company based … Continue reading
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Tagged approval ratings, barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, orrin hatch, polls, public opinion, rob bishop, utah voter poll
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What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
What kind of Republican is Mia Love?
What kind of Republican is Mia Love? She’s not too far off from Chaffetz, Stewart, and Bishop. Last week, I used Congressional voting data to assess whether Jim Matheson is a moderate or liberal Democrat. The unsurprising conclusion: He’s to … Continue reading
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Tagged chris stewart, congress, democrat, ideology, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, mia love, nominate, republican, rob bishop
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What Are Utahns’ Top Issue Priorities?
Utahns’ issue priorities fall into three distinct groups with Education and Jobs being most important and Gun Rights and Public Lands being least important. Note: This post is written by the POLS 6010 Graduate Research Methods class at Utah State … Continue reading
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Tagged education, energy, gun rights, immigration, jobs, polls, USU
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What Are Utahns’ Top Issue Priorities?
Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
When you consider that Mormons overwhelmingly identify as Republicans, it is unsurprising that Mitt Romney is viewed by a large majority of Mormons as positively representing their faith. In a previous post, we reported findings from the June Key Research … Continue reading
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Tagged campaigns, democrat, harry reid, Key Research, mitt romney, mormons, partisanship, presidential election, public opinion, religion, republican
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Who Do Mormons Say Represents Their Faith Positively?
Is Jim Matheson a liberal or a moderate?
Matheson’s Congressional votes often go against partisan expectations. Jim Matheson presents himself to voters as a moderate willing to work with both parties. Critics from the right contend that he’s really a liberal at heart who will promptly ally with … Continue reading
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Tagged congress, democrat, ideology, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, nominate, republic, rob bishop
3 Comments
Before any of the debates. Before SuperStorm Sandy. Before the last-minute barrage of campaign advertising. He predicted the result perfectly over a month ago. Over the past several months, political scientists have consistently forecasted an Obama victory–a relatively narrow one, … Continue reading →