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Tag Archives: presidential election
Trump’s 2020 gains are trivial. He continues to fare worse in these areas than any Republican nominee in a generation. The New York Times notes in passing today that two Utah metro areas (Provo-Orem and Ogden-Clearfield) moved toward Trump in … Continue reading
If Trump manages to obtain the Republican party’s nomination Utah may be a hotly contested battleground state in 2016. While we’re still more than a year away from electing our next president, news stories abound regarding the abundance of candidates … Continue reading
Relative to the nation, Utah cast a more Republican vote in 2012 than at any time since statehood. I just noticed something interesting while playing with the 2012 presidential election results for Utah. By one metric, it appears Utah may … Continue reading
Only one of Utah’s three professional pollsters was reasonably accurate with almost every prediction it made. In the two weeks prior to the election, several pollsters tried their hand at forecasting the election results in Utah’s various races. I thought … Continue reading
Before any of the debates. Before SuperStorm Sandy. Before the last-minute barrage of campaign advertising. He predicted the result perfectly over a month ago. Over the past several months, political scientists have consistently forecasted an Obama victory–a relatively narrow one, … Continue reading
Estimating Utah’s turnout by looking only at registered voters is like estimating Utah’s average wealth by looking only at those who are employed. Important note (November 20, 2012). The turnout numbers below rely on data from Michael McDonald. He has … Continue reading
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
When you consider that Mormons overwhelmingly identify as Republicans, it is unsurprising that Mitt Romney is viewed by a large majority of Mormons as positively representing their faith. In a previous post, we reported findings from the June Key Research … Continue reading
Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading