Who are we?
We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
Hear about new posts
Twitter @poliARB
Archives
Author Archives: Quin Monson
Utah Voters Support Medicaid Expansion
43% of Utah voters prefer the Governor’s plan, 33% prefer the ACA plan, 13% prefer no change, and 11% prefer the Speaker’s Plan. This post was written by CSED Research Fellow and BYU Political Scientist Jay Goodliffe with assistance from … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged becky lockhart, gary herbert, health care, ideology, medicare, obamacare, partisanship, utah voter poll
4 Comments
Senator Lee and the Shutdown
Lee has overwhelming support from the quarter of the population that doesn’t reject the Tea Party. But the three-quarters of Utahns who do not identify with the Tea Party come to the exact opposite conclusion. Senator Mike Lee has received … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged approval ratings, bob bennett, congress, gary herbert, jim matheson, mike lee, partisanship, polls, tea party, utah voter poll
16 Comments
A Clear Majority of Utah Voters Want the Legislature to Impeach Swallow
When a majority of strong partisans from a politician’s own party favor impeachment, that politician is in serious trouble Update/Correction: Although the numbers posted in the topline report were released correctly yesterday, the graphic and prose for the favorability numbers … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged approval ratings, gary herbert, impeachment, jim matheson, john swallow, mike lee, orrin hatch, partisanship, polls, public opinion, utah voter poll
Comments Off on A Clear Majority of Utah Voters Want the Legislature to Impeach Swallow
A Clear Majority of Utah Voters Want the Legislature to Impeach Swallow
Party Identification, Party Registration, and “Unaffiliated” Voters
Only 26% of unaffiliated voters also identify as independents. The remaining unaffiliated voters split evenly between Republicans (35%) and Democrats (34%). In other words, it’s probably okay to confuse registered Republicans (party registration) with self-identified Republicans (party identification), but unaffiliated … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged democrat, ideology, independent, Key Research, partisanship, republican, unaffiliated, voter registration
1 Comment
How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged jim matheson, mia love, partisanship, republican, student research, utah colleges exit poll
Comments Off on How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
Can Mia Love Still Win?
If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged absentee voting, campaigns, election administration, jim matheson, mia love, polls, utah colleges exit poll
2 Comments
Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
************Updated estimates as of 10:00pm US President Mitt Romney 72% Barack Obama 25% Someone else 3% Projected winner: Mitt Romney US Senate Orrin Hatch 65% Scott Howell 30% Someone else 4% Projected winner: Orrin Hatch Governor Gary Herbert 68% Peter … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Comments Off on Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged barack obama, democrat, mitt romney, mormons, presidential election, religion, republican, utah colleges exit poll, voting
Comments Off on How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
It’s not that Lee is really unpopular, it’s just that even after two years he’s still relatively unknown. Lee’s statewide favorability resembles the statewide ratings of Utah’s Republican U.S. House members. Key Research, a survey and market research company based … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged approval ratings, barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, orrin hatch, polls, public opinion, rob bishop, utah voter poll
Comments Off on What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, Key Research, mia love, mitt romney, orrin hatch, polls, presidential election, public opinion, rob bishop, turnout
Comments Off on Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
Key Research Poll General Election Predictions