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We are professors of political science sharing academic research relevant to Utah. Posts are not peer reviewed and may discuss work in progress that is subject to future revision. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author’s views.
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Author Archives: Adam Brown
Does Huntsman have better odds against Obama than against Romney?
Romney has better odds of winning the GOP nod, but Huntsman would have better odds against Obama. Here’s an amusing deviation from our regularly scheduled programming. Dan Hopkins, a political scientist at Georgetown, had a little fun today playing with … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged jon huntsman, mitt romney, presidential election
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Does Huntsman have better odds against Obama than against Romney?
How will Hispanic growth affect redistricting?
To avoid a lawsuit, the redistricting committee will need to take care how the new districts divide minority populations. Utah’s Hispanic population continued to grow during the 2000s. Statewide, the Hispanic population grew by 78% (from 201,559 to 358,340) in … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged counties, demographics, immigration, racial-ethnic, redistricting
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How will Hispanic growth affect redistricting?
Will redistricting hurt Democrats in the state legislature?
Population change may cost Democrats 2 seats in the Utah House and 1 in the Senate. A few days ago, we posted some information about population change within Utah’s 75 state House districts. Because the 2010 Census reports a population … Continue reading
Which counties have moved most to the right?
Every county (except Kane) became more Republican between 1992 and 2008. Many became WAY more Republican. In our last post, we looked at Utah’s continuing movement toward the GOP during the 2000s. Today, we’ll look to see which specific counties … Continue reading
Could Republicans win all four U.S. House districts?
This movement toward the GOP represents a continuation of a rightward trend that began decades ago In a few days, we’ll post Census data showing that Hispanics (who often vote Democratic) have become a larger percentage of the state’s population. … Continue reading
Which counties will gain and lose seats in the Utah legislature?
Utah County and Davis County (combined) need to gain three districts, but Salt Lake County needs to lose three. Utah’s House of Representatives has 75 districts. Although most people seem to be talking about how the legislature will draw Utah’s … Continue reading
How has Utah’s population grown since 2000?
With each district losing between 22% and 28% of its population to the new district, a wholesale redrawing of district lines is likely. Utah’s rapid population growth over the past 10 years has earned it a fourth seat in Congress. … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged congress, demographics, redistricting
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How has Utah’s population grown since 2000?
Who could run for Speaker or Senate President?
What makes a legislator a good candidate for leadership? Last fall, Becky Lockhart narrowly won the support of her fellow House Republicans and became the new Speaker, ousting David Clark. Meanwhile, Michael Waddoups fought off a challenge from Dan Liljenquist, … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged ideology, leadership, legislature, median voter theorem, nominate, senate president, speaker of the house
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Who could run for Speaker or Senate President?
Who is REALLY the most conservative Utah legislator?
Interest group ratings are certainly useful, but it turns out there’s a much, much better way to figure out which legislators are most conservative and most liberal. Credit where it’s due: Robert Richards, my undergraduate research assistant extraordinaire, contributed heavily … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged ideology, legislature, measurement, nominate, rankings, roll call votes
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Over the next couple weeks, we will publish several posts looking at Utah’s ongoing redistricting process. We’ll begin by looking closely at the 2010 U.S. Census results and discussing what they might mean for redistricting. We’ll also take a look … Continue reading →