Tag Archives: orrin hatch

A Clear Majority of Utah Voters Want the Legislature to Impeach Swallow

When a majority of strong partisans from a politician’s own party favor impeachment, that politician is in serious trouble Update/Correction:  Although the numbers posted in the topline report were released correctly yesterday, the graphic and prose for the favorability numbers … Continue reading

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Could Jim Matheson have beaten Orrin Hatch?

Matheson does not have as much appeal statewide as in the fourth district This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration … Continue reading

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What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)

It’s not that Lee is really unpopular, it’s just that even after two years he’s still relatively unknown.  Lee’s statewide favorability resembles the statewide ratings of Utah’s Republican U.S. House members. Key Research, a survey and market research company based … Continue reading

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Comparing the USU and Key/BYU election prediction polls

Both polls agree that Republicans will sweep Utah’s statewide races decisively. We saw something unusual this week: Two well-designed polls, conducted independently (not by campaigns), in the field at the same time. Damon Cann published the USU pre-election poll last … Continue reading

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Key Research Poll General Election Predictions

Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading

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USU Pre-Election Poll

The poll finds that Republicans in statewide elections in Utah are running strong this year; this is particularly true of Mitt Romney and Gary Herbert. This post is written by students in POLS 6010 at Utah State University, a Political … Continue reading

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Who is going to win the Republican Senate Primary?

While the vote estimates vary depending on the assumptions you make, the outcome is the same across the board.  Senator Hatch is very likely to win, the uncertainty is by how much. Barring a last minute “June surprise” that dramatically … Continue reading

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Brewing a Weaker Tea?

The Tea Party played a much-diminished role in the 2012 Republican convention, no matter how you measure it. This analysis was performed by Kyrene Gibb, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy, in … Continue reading

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Why are Liljenquist’s former colleagues split on his candidacy?

Liljenquist’s former colleagues are evenly split on his candidacy, but it’s hard to explain the split using ideology. Today, Dan Liljenquist announced that 13 of the 22 Republicans in the state senate have endorsed his challenge against Orrin Hatch. I … Continue reading

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BYU vs Utah: Not Just a Sporting Rivalry

This analysis was performed by Jordan Rogers, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy, in collaboration with CSED faculty. The writing is mostly his. Inquiries about this research should come to me (Quin … Continue reading

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