Tag Archives: congress

Senator Lee Rebounds

Compared to one year ago, our October 2014 UVP shows a substantial change in voters’ views about the senator. Overall, favorability toward Senator Lee has now nearly returned to its pre-shutdown levels. These are heady days for Senate Republicans.  With a wave … Continue reading

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We now have the fewest freshmen ever in the Utah House

Every incumbent on yesterday’s ballot won. This post is based on preliminary election results. Provisional and absentee ballots remain to be counted. When it convenes in January, Utah’s House of Representatives will have fewer freshmen on the floor than it … Continue reading

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Senator Lee and the Shutdown

Lee has overwhelming support from the quarter of the population that doesn’t reject the Tea Party.  But the three-quarters of Utahns who do not identify with the Tea Party come to the exact opposite conclusion. Senator Mike Lee has received … Continue reading

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Utahns don’t know much about Utah government

Utahns don’t know much about national politics, but they know even less about Utah politics. Although Americans often take pride in living in the world’s oldest democracy, American voters tend to do a very poor job answering basic questions about … Continue reading

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How early did voters decide who to vote for?

In noncompetitive, low-profile races like the first and third districts, voters take a bit longer to decide than they do in competitive, highly publicized races like the fourth district. This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow … Continue reading

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Could Jim Matheson have beaten Orrin Hatch?

Matheson does not have as much appeal statewide as in the fourth district This analysis was performed by Robert Richards, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (“like” CSED on Facebook), in collaboration … Continue reading

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Nationwide, single member districts hurt Democrats

No matter who controls the Utah Legislature, it will be hard for Democrats to win as many legislative seats in Utah as their popular vote might suggest. I wrote recently that single member districts hurt the minority party, whatever the … Continue reading

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What kind of Republican is Mia Love?

What kind of Republican is Mia Love? She’s not too far off from Chaffetz, Stewart, and Bishop. Last week, I used Congressional voting data to assess whether Jim Matheson is a moderate or liberal Democrat. The unsurprising conclusion: He’s to … Continue reading

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Is Jim Matheson a liberal or a moderate?

Matheson’s Congressional votes often go against partisan expectations. Jim Matheson presents himself to voters as a moderate willing to work with both parties. Critics from the right contend that he’s really a liberal at heart who will promptly ally with … Continue reading

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Redistricting is not expected to change the partisan balance of Congress

They conclude that Utah did not experience a partisan gerrymander of its US House seats. In a painstaking state-by-state analysis of all 435 U.S. House seats, some sharp political scientists predict that the 2011 redistricting round will have no net … Continue reading

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