Author Archives: Quin Monson

About Quin Monson

Quin Monson is Associate Professor of Political Science and Director of the Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy at Brigham Young University.

Senator Lee and the Shutdown

Lee has overwhelming support from the quarter of the population that doesn’t reject the Tea Party.  But the three-quarters of Utahns who do not identify with the Tea Party come to the exact opposite conclusion. Senator Mike Lee has received … Continue reading

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A Clear Majority of Utah Voters Want the Legislature to Impeach Swallow

When a majority of strong partisans from a politician’s own party favor impeachment, that politician is in serious trouble Update/Correction:  Although the numbers posted in the topline report were released correctly yesterday, the graphic and prose for the favorability numbers … Continue reading

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Party Identification, Party Registration, and “Unaffiliated” Voters

Only 26% of unaffiliated voters also identify as independents. The remaining unaffiliated voters split evenly between Republicans (35%) and Democrats (34%). In other words, it’s probably okay to confuse registered Republicans (party registration) with self-identified Republicans (party identification), but unaffiliated … Continue reading

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How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?

It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading

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Can Mia Love Still Win?

If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading

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Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night

************Updated estimates as of 10:00pm US President Mitt Romney  72% Barack Obama  25% Someone else  3% Projected winner: Mitt Romney US Senate Orrin Hatch  65% Scott Howell  30% Someone else  4% Projected winner: Orrin Hatch Governor Gary Herbert  68% Peter … Continue reading

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How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?

The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading

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What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)

It’s not that Lee is really unpopular, it’s just that even after two years he’s still relatively unknown.  Lee’s statewide favorability resembles the statewide ratings of Utah’s Republican U.S. House members. Key Research, a survey and market research company based … Continue reading

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Key Research Poll General Election Predictions

Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading

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Do LDS Dems like Mitt Romney?

While 23% of all Utah Democrats view Governor Romney favorably, that proportion goes up to 42% when looking only at Mormon Democrats. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of … Continue reading

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