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We are professors of political science. The goal is not to post partisan opinions, but rather to share our academic research. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author's views.
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Author Archives: Quin Monson
Party Identification, Party Registration, and “Unaffiliated” Voters
Only 26% of unaffiliated voters also identify as independents. The remaining unaffiliated voters split evenly between Republicans (35%) and Democrats (34%). In other words, it’s probably okay to confuse registered Republicans (party registration) with self-identified Republicans (party identification), but unaffiliated … Continue reading
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Tagged democrat, ideology, independent, Key Research, partisanship, republican, unaffiliated, voter registration
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How Does Jim Matheson Keep Winning?
It’s simple math. For Democrats to win in Utah, they must win over a substantial share of Republican voters. This analysis was performed by Alissa Wilkinson, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy (like us … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged jim matheson, mia love, partisanship, republican, student research, utah colleges exit poll
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Can Mia Love Still Win?
If the Utah Colleges Exit Poll estimate accurately reflects all absentee voters, Love will make up some of the current deficit but eventually lose by 1,572 votes. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the … Continue reading
Posted in Everything
Tagged absentee voting, campaigns, election administration, jim matheson, mia love, polls, utah colleges exit poll
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Utah Colleges Exit Poll Election Night
************Updated estimates as of 10:00pm US President Mitt Romney 72% Barack Obama 25% Someone else 3% Projected winner: Mitt Romney US Senate Orrin Hatch 65% Scott Howell 30% Someone else 4% Projected winner: Orrin Hatch Governor Gary Herbert 68% Peter … Continue reading
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How Deep is Support for Romney Among Mormons Nationally?
The religious group affinity some Mormons appear to feel for Romney comes though a little more clearly among Republicans and independents where Romney receives nearly unanimous support from Mormon Republicans and enjoys a 2:1 advantage among Mormon independents. Given their … Continue reading
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Tagged barack obama, democrat, mitt romney, mormons, presidential election, religion, republican, utah colleges exit poll, voting
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What’s up with Senator Mike Lee’s Favorability Rating? (plus Oct 2012 Key Research Toplines)
It’s not that Lee is really unpopular, it’s just that even after two years he’s still relatively unknown. Lee’s statewide favorability resembles the statewide ratings of Utah’s Republican U.S. House members. Key Research, a survey and market research company based … Continue reading
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Tagged approval ratings, barack obama, gary herbert, jason chaffetz, jim matheson, orrin hatch, polls, public opinion, rob bishop, utah voter poll
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Key Research Poll General Election Predictions
Don’t go to bed early on election night if you’re interested in the outcome of the Love/Matheson race. BYU’s Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy is analyzing a poll conducted by Key Research, a survey and market research … Continue reading
Do LDS Dems like Mitt Romney?
While 23% of all Utah Democrats view Governor Romney favorably, that proportion goes up to 42% when looking only at Mormon Democrats. This analysis was performed by Matthew Frei, a student research fellow at BYU’s Center for the Study of … Continue reading
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Tagged approval ratings, barack obama, campaigns, mitt romney, mormons, partisanship, public opinion, religion
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Topline Results for Key Research Statewide Voter Survey
Releasing the full results serves as a model for the kind of transparency we would like to see more of in public polling in the state of Utah. Key Research, a survey and market research company based in Provo, recently … Continue reading
Who is going to win the Republican Senate Primary?
While the vote estimates vary depending on the assumptions you make, the outcome is the same across the board. Senator Hatch is very likely to win, the uncertainty is by how much. Barring a last minute “June surprise” that dramatically … Continue reading
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Tagged convention, dan liljenquist, delegates, nominations, orrin hatch, polls, tea party, turnout, utah voter poll, voting
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