Does Huntsman have better odds against Obama than against Romney?

Here’s an amusing deviation from our regularly scheduled programming. Dan Hopkins, a political scientist at Georgetown, had a little fun today playing with betting odds at Intrade. Based on what people are betting right now:

Romney has a 0.299 probability of winning the GOP nomination, much better than Huntsman’s 0.150 probability.

But assuming that Romney won the nomination, he would have only a 0.411 probability of beating Obama, worse than Huntsman’s 0.480.

So Romney has better odds of winning the GOP nod, but Huntsman would have better odds against Obama. (Assuming that we have any faith in the odds that Intrade calculates, of course.)

(To be clear: A probability is on a scale of 0 to 1. I guess another way to read it is to say that a 0.299 probability is a 29.9% chance.)

For the complete breakdown, go here.

Possibly related posts:

• Is Huntsman more electable than Romney?
• How different are Romney and Perry ideologically?
• 2012 was Utah’s most Republican-leaning presidential vote since statehood

Possibly related posts (automatically generated)

• Is Huntsman more electable than Romney? (December 19, 2011)
• How different are Romney and Perry ideologically? (September 8, 2011)
• Why Mitt Romney is not the inevitable nominee (November 22, 2011)