Who are we?
We are professors of political science. The goal is not to post partisan opinions, but rather to share our academic research. Learn more. Each post reflects only its author's views.
Buyer beware: Most of our posts discuss ongoing, unpublished research. We may revise our conclusions as we continue our research.
Hear about new posts
Tag Archives: redistricting
If you’re coming from that article in the Tribune today, then you’re probably looking for this post: Which counties will gain and lose seats in the Utah legislature? I’ve written several posts about redistricting in the past couple weeks. You … Continue reading
Even without a partisan gerrymander, Democrats cannot win a full 30% of seats unless Democratic voters are clustered in an optimal way. In 2010, Democrats won only 17 of the 75 seats in the Utah House of Representatives. That’s 23% … Continue reading
It’s not clear that the legislature actually made Matheson’s district more Republican in 2001. It’s often said that the Utah legislature tried to gerrymander Utah’s second district (Matheson’s) in 2001. By moving Republicans into the district and Democrats out of … Continue reading
To avoid a lawsuit, the redistricting committee will need to take care how the new districts divide minority populations. Utah’s Hispanic population continued to grow during the 2000s. Statewide, the Hispanic population grew by 78% (from 201,559 to 358,340) in … Continue reading
Population change may cost Democrats 2 seats in the Utah House and 1 in the Senate. A few days ago, we posted some information about population change within Utah’s 75 state House districts. Because the 2010 Census reports a population … Continue reading
Every county (except Kane) became more Republican between 1992 and 2008. Many became WAY more Republican. In our last post, we looked at Utah’s continuing movement toward the GOP during the 2000s. Today, we’ll look to see which specific counties … Continue reading
This movement toward the GOP represents a continuation of a rightward trend that began decades ago In a few days, we’ll post Census data showing that Hispanics (who often vote Democratic) have become a larger percentage of the state’s population. … Continue reading
Utah County and Davis County (combined) need to gain three districts, but Salt Lake County needs to lose three. Utah’s House of Representatives has 75 districts. Although most people seem to be talking about how the legislature will draw Utah’s … Continue reading
With each district losing between 22% and 28% of its population to the new district, a wholesale redrawing of district lines is likely. Utah’s rapid population growth over the past 10 years has earned it a fourth seat in Congress. … Continue reading